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Chapter 12

Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

Book Version 1
By Boundless
Boundless Statistics
Statistics
by Boundless
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Section 1
Estimation
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Estimation

Estimating population parameters from sample parameters is one of the major applications of inferential statistics.

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Estimates and Sample Size

Here, we present how to calculate the minimum sample size needed to estimate a population mean ($\mu$) and population proportion ($p$).

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Estimating the Target Parameter: Point Estimation

Point estimation involves the use of sample data to calculate a single value which serves as the "best estimate" of an unknown population parameter.

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Estimating the Target Parameter: Interval Estimation

Interval estimation is the use of sample data to calculate an interval of possible (or probable) values of an unknown population parameter.

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Estimating a Population Proportion

In order to estimate a population proportion of some attribute, it is helpful to rely on the proportions observed within a sample of the population.

Section 2
Statistical Power
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Statistical Power

Statistical power helps us answer the question of how much data to collect in order to find reliable results.

Section 3
Comparing More than Two Means
Elements of a Designed Study

The problem of comparing more than two means results from the increase in Type I error that occurs when statistical tests are used repeatedly.

Randomized Design: Single-Factor

Completely randomized designs study the effects of one primary factor without the need to take other nuisance variables into account.

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Multiple Comparisons of Means

ANOVA is useful in the multiple comparisons of means due to its reduction in the Type I error rate.

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Randomized Block Design

Block design is the arranging of experimental units into groups (blocks) that are similar to one another, to control for certain factors.

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Factorial Experiments: Two Factors

A full factorial experiment is an experiment whose design consists of two or more factors with discrete possible levels.

Section 4
Confidence Intervals
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What Is a Confidence Interval?

A confidence interval is a type of interval estimate of a population parameter and is used to indicate the reliability of an estimate.

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Interpreting a Confidence Interval

For users of frequentist methods, various interpretations of a confidence interval can be given.

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Caveat Emptor and the Gallup Poll

Readers of polls, such as the Gallup Poll, should exercise Caveat Emptor by taking into account the poll's margin of error.

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Level of Confidence

The proportion of confidence intervals that contain the true value of a parameter will match the confidence level.

Determining Sample Size

A major factor determining the length of a confidence interval is the size of the sample used in the estimation procedure.

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Confidence Interval for a Population Proportion

The procedure to find the confidence interval and the confidence level for a proportion is similar to that for the population mean.

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Confidence Interval for a Population Mean, Standard Deviation Known

In this section, we outline an example of finding the confidence interval for a population mean when we know the standard deviation.

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Confidence Interval for a Population Mean, Standard Deviation Not Known

In this section, we outline an example of finding the confidence interval for a population mean when we do not know the standard deviation.

Estimating a Population Variance

The chi-square distribution is used to construct confidence intervals for a population variance.

Section 5
Hypothesis Testing: One Sample
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Tests of Significance

Tests of significance are a statistical technology used for ascertaining the likelihood of empirical data, and (from there) for inferring a real effect.

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Elements of a Hypothesis Test

A statistical hypothesis test is a method of making decisions using data from a scientific study.

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The Null and the Alternative

The alternative hypothesis and the null hypothesis are the two rival hypotheses that are compared by a statistical hypothesis test.

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Type I and Type II Errors

If the result of a hypothesis test does not correspond with reality, then an error has occurred.

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Significance Levels

If a test of significance gives a $p$-value lower than or equal to the significance level, the null hypothesis is rejected at that level.

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Directional Hypotheses and One-Tailed Tests

A one-tailed hypothesis is one in which the value of a parameter is either above or equal to a certain value or below or equal to a certain value.

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Creating a Hypothesis Test

Creating a hypothesis test generally follows a five-step procedure.

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Testing a Single Proportion

Here we will evaluate an example of hypothesis testing for a single proportion.

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Testing a Single Mean

In this section we will evaluate an example of hypothesis testing for a single mean.

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Testing a Single Variance

In this section we will evaluate an example of hypothesis testing for a single variance.

Section 6
Hypothesis Testing: Two Samples
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Using Two Samples

To compare two means or two proportions, one works with two groups.

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Comparing Two Independent Population Means

To compare independent samples, both populations are normally distributed with the population means and standard deviations unknown.

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Comparing Two Independent Population Proportions

If two estimated proportions are different, it may be due to a difference in the populations or it may be due to chance.

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Comparing Matched or Paired Samples

In a hypothesis test for matched or paired samples, subjects are matched in pairs and differences are calculated.

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Comparing Two Population Variances

In order to compare two variances, we must use the $F$ distribution.

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Determining Sample Size

A common problem is calculating the sample size required to yield a certain power for a test, given a predetermined type I error rate $\alpha$.

Section 7
Hypothesis Testing: Correlations
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Hypothesis Tests with the Pearson Correlation

We test the correlation coefficient to determine whether the linear relationship in the sample data effectively models the relationship in the population.

Section 8
One-Way ANOVA
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The F-Test

An F-test is any statistical test in which the test statistic has an F-distribution under the null hypothesis.

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The One-Way F-Test

The $F$-test as a one-way analysis of variance assesses whether the expected values of a quantitative variable within groups differ from each other.

Variance Estimates

The $F$-test can be used to test the hypothesis that the variances of two populations are equal.

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Mean Squares and the F-Ratio

Most $F$-tests arise by considering a decomposition of the variability in a collection of data in terms of sums of squares.

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ANOVA

ANOVA is a statistical tool used in several ways to develop and confirm an explanation for the observed data.

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ANOVA Design

Many statisticians base ANOVA on the design of the experiment, especially on the protocol that specifies the random assignment of treatments to subjects.

ANOVA Assumptions

The results of a one-way ANOVA can be considered reliable as long as certain assumptions are met.

Section 9
Two-Way ANOVA
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Two-Way ANOVA

Two-way ANOVA examines the influence of different categorical independent variables on one dependent variable.

Section 10
Repeated-Measures ANOVA
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Repeated Measures Design

Repeated measures analysis of variance (rANOVA) is one of the most commonly used statistical approaches to repeated measures designs.

Further Discussion of ANOVA

Due to the iterative nature of experimentation, preparatory and follow-up analyses are often necessary in ANOVA.

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Correlation and Regression
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Chapter 12
Estimation and Hypothesis Testing
  • Estimation
  • Statistical Power
  • Comparing More than Two Means
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Hypothesis Testing: One Sample
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Other Hypothesis Tests
  • The t-Test
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  • Tests for Ranked Data
  • Nonparametric Statistics
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