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  Volume 
          2: 
          No. 1, January 2005 
ESSAYDiabetes and Mexicans: Why 
    the Two Are Linked
Reynaldo Martorell, PhD
Suggested citation for this article: Martorell R. Diabetes and Mexicans: 
why the two are linked. Prev Chronic Dis [serial online] 2005 Jan [date 
cited]. Available from: URL:
http://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2005/jan/04_0100.htm.
 The PastObesity and diabetes were probably rare before the advent of agriculture. 
    Our ancestors, hunters and gatherers for millennia, had varied but 
    unpredictable diets. Studies of hunter-gatherers of the 20th 
    century suggest that animal sources dominated our ancient food basket, with 
    plants (fruits, vegetables, and nuts) providing only 20% to 40% of total energy  (1). Modern and 
    presumably ancient hunter-gatherer populations, despite 
    a high-fat, high-protein diet, were free of the signs and symptoms of 
    noncommunicable diseases — a paradox. Perhaps energy needs were not always 
    met, thus keeping body sizes in check; also, the relative lack of salt and simple 
    carbohydrates, a mix of saturated and good fats, plenty of fiber, abundant micronutrients, a vigorous and active life,  and less stress than we now endure may explain this finding. With the 
    food supply uncertain, one would expect individuals with “thrifty” 
    genotypes — genotypes that increase the ability to turn food to fat — to have a survival edge.  Agriculture brought a more predictable food supply but less variety. 
    Crops failed from time to time, bringing on famines when stores of grain 
    were depleted, but over time, agriculture allowed for increasingly larger 
    populations, with  thrifty genotypes thriving as before. Super foods — such 
    as corn in Mesoamerica, the substance from which the Mayan gods in their 
    fourth attempt were finally able 
    to make man, according to the Popul Vuh, the sacred 
    book of the Maya — came to provide as much as 80% or more of energy needs. 
    Crowding brought new types of infections, which along with limited diets gave rise to 
    the nutritional deficiencies that have plagued humankind in recent millennia. Agriculture fostered 
    the development of highly stratified societies, and it became possible for a 
    few to lead a life of luxury. Until the 20th century, fatness was 
    a marker of wealth.  Back to top The PresentMost of my professional career has been devoted to the study of hunger 
    and malnutrition in developing countries. As rates of child malnutrition 
    decline in Latin America and in other developing countries, the prevalence 
    of obesity is increasing rapidly, and I, like many of my colleagues, have 
    begun to study both ends of the spectrum — namely, deficiency and excess (2).  Economic development and urbanization are  the engines 
    of the “nutrition transition” (3). Pathways include increased 
    food security, the availability of cheap sources of fat in the form of 
    vegetable oils, more eating away from home, the less arduous nature of 
    modern jobs, and increases in sedentary recreation (notably television). 
    These pathways have 
    transformed dietary and physical activity patterns and, as a result, tipped the balance in 
    favor of obesity (Figure 1).  
 Figure 1.
    Possible causes of the nutrition transition and the emergence of obesity 
    in developing countries. Adapted from Martorell and Stein, 2001 (2), and Popkin, 1994 (3). Some populations may be more susceptible to obesity (e.g., Pacific 
    Islanders, Native Americans) because of thrifty genotypes, as proposed by 
    the geneticist Neel some years ago (4). Thrifty phenotypes may also 
    increase susceptibility to obesity;  some evidence suggests that poor intrauterine and 
    infant nutrition may also “program” individuals to be metabolically 
     
    thrifty, and if later times bring a life of abundance, these individuals 
    will be at risk for developing chronic diseases such as diabetes (5).  Back to top The “Supersizing” of the Mexican PeopleMexico is a country far along the nutrition transition. The Mexican National 
    Nutrition Survey 1999 showed that obesity (Body Mass Index [BMI] ≥30) among women 
    aged 18 to 
    49 increased from 9% in 1988 to 24% in 1999 (6). If we add 
    overweight (BMI = 25.0–29.9) to the mix, the percentage of overweight or obese 
    women increased from 33% to 59% in just one decade. The 1999 survey also 
    showed that the prevalence of stunting (low height-for-age, indicative of 
    child undernutrition) among preschool children in the indigenous rural south 
    of Mexico was 42%, as high as in many sub-Saharan African countries. Yet 
    the problem of obesity grew alarmingly among all sectors of society. All 
    socioeconomic groups, rural as well as urban areas, and all regions of 
    Mexico, including the impoverished South, showed equally 
    dramatic increases (Figure 2). Obesity and chronic diseases in Mexico can no longer be 
    dismissed as problems of the rich. However, poor Mexicans have a double 
    burden: child undernutrition in addition to obesity. As the nutrition transition 
    unfolds even further, as it has in Chile, obesity becomes more common among 
    the poor, as it is in the United States.  
 Figure 2.
    Levels of overweight (BMI = 25.0–29.9) and obesity 
    (BMI ≥30.0) in 1988 and 1999 in women aged 18 to 49 
    in Mexico, by region. BMI indicates Body Mass Index. Data from Rivera et al, 2001 (6).
    (A text description of this graph is also 
    available.) Mexican Americans are one of the fattest groups in what is one of the 
    fattest nations on earth. Three out of four Mexican American adults (aged >20 
    years) were either overweight or obese at the end of the 20th 
    century (7).  
    Plentiful and unhealthy diets, many hours of television watching, and a 
    reluctance to exercise are some of the factors  blamed. For example, a 
    study of Mexican children along the Mexico–U.S. border showed low intake of 
    fruits and vegetables and excessive consumption of soft drinks and high-fat 
    snacks (8).  Obesity is an easy, visible marker of the worldwide 
    pandemic of noncommunicable diseases for which considerable data from 
    around the world are available (2). Obesity is also a major risk factor for 
    type 2 diabetes, and where obesity is rising we can expect diabetes to 
    follow (9).  Back to top The Type 2 Diabetes PandemicDiabetes is a growing problem worldwide. The prevalence of diabetes in 
    adults (aged >20 years) is projected to increase in developed countries from 
    6.0% in 1995 to 7.6% by 2025 (10). Diabetes in developing countries will 
    also increase from 3.3% to 4.9%, and because of initial population sizes and 
    growth, the increase in the number of people with diabetes will come 
    disproportionately from the developing world. The number of individuals with 
    diabetes will rise from 51 million to 72 million in developed countries, but 
    the number will rise from 84 million to 228 million in developing countries. 
    The three nations with the greatest numbers of individuals with diabetes in 
    1995 were India (19.4 million), China (16.0 million), and the United States 
    (13.9 million). In 2025, the rankings will be unchanged, but the absolute 
    number will increase dramatically in India (to 57.2 million) and China (to 
    37.6 million) and less so in the United States (to 21.9 
    million). Mexico, which was ninth in the world in 1995 (3.8 million), will 
    rise to seventh place by 
    2025 (11.7 million).  Diabetes is a serious public health problem among Mexicans and Mexican 
    Americans. Diabetes was found in 8.1% of Mexican adults in 2000 (11) 
    compared with 13.1% and 14.5% of Mexican American men and women in 1988–94 
    (12). In the United States, adults of Mexican origin, particularly men, had 
    higher rates of prevalence of diabetes than 
    non-Hispanic whites or blacks, as well as a greater degree of impaired 
    fasting glucose (Figure 3). The prevalence of diabetes in the United States is rising rapidly. The 
    prevalence of diabetes increased from 8.9% in 1976–1980 to 12.3% in 
    1988–94 among adults aged 40 to 74 (12). Mexican 
    Americans, the largest Hispanic/Latino subgroup in the United States, are 
    more than twice as likely to 
    have diabetes as non-Hispanic whites of similar age (13). 
 Figure 3.
    Age-standardized prevalence of diagnosed and undiagnosed diabetes and 
    impaired fasting glucose in the U.S. population aged ≥20 years by sex and 
    ethnic group, based on the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination 
    Survey (NHANES III). Data from Harris et al, 1998 (12).
    (A text description of this graph is also 
    available.) Born in 
    Central America, I share a similar ancestry with Mexicans (Spanish and 
    Amerindian). Not surprisingly, diabetes runs in my family. Some statistics should scare me. 
    The lifetime risk of developing diabetes for U.S. individuals born in 2002 
    is about one in three for the general population, but about one in two for the Hispanic 
    population (14). Back to top Ancestry and Prenatal ExposureLifestyle characteristics are primarily responsible for the high levels 
    of obesity and diabetes among Mexicans, but other considerations are also 
    important. The San Antonio Heart Study began in 1979 and is a 
    population-based study of diabetes and cardiovascular disease in Mexican 
    Americans and non-Hispanic whites in San Antonio, Texas (9). One of the 
    interesting findings of the study is that the degree of Native American 
    ancestry is a major risk factor for diabetes, presumably because of 
    inherited  thrifty genes (15).  The role of intergenerational mechanisms, specifically the risk of 
    developing diabetes in adulthood as a result of prenatal exposure to 
    diabetes, has become clear from studies of Pima Indians in Arizona (Figure 
    4). The prevalence of diabetes among adults aged 20 to 24 was found to be 1.4% if the mother 
    was free of diabetes, 8.6% if she was prediabetic (developed diabetes 
    after delivery), and 45.5% if she had gestational diabetes (16). Follow-up 
    studies over three decades reveal a steady rise in diabetes in Pima children 
    and adolescents. From 1967–76 to 1987–96, the prevalence of diabetes in 
    girls aged 10 to 14 years increased from 0.72% to 2.88%. In girls aged 15 to 19 
    years, the prevalence increased from 2.73% to 5.31% during the same period (17). The percentage of 
    youths (aged 10 to 19 
    years) who were exposed to gestational diabetes increased during this period (Figure 5). In 1967–76, 2.1% of youths were 
    exposed to gestational diabetes; by 1987–96, exposure had almost quadrupled 
    to 7.5% of pregnancies. The fraction of diabetes attributable to gestational 
    diabetes also rose markedly  in youths aged 10 to 19  so that by 
    1987–96, more than one third of cases of diabetes could be attributed to 
    gestational diabetes. Also, more than 70% of persons with prenatal exposure 
    developed type 2 diabetes at 25 to 34 years of age (18). Clearly, the hyperglycemic intrauterine environment 
    brought on by gestational diabetes is an important determinant of early-onset type 2 diabetes 
    that is above any genetically transmitted susceptibility and is another example of fetal programming 
    (19). An 
    additional consequence is that 50% of women with gestational diabetes will 
    themselves develop diabetes within five years (20). The concern about 
    gestational diabetes is not limited to the Pima population. The incidence of 
    gestational diabetes increased from 4.9% in 1990 to 7.1% in 2000 in 
    California, where Asian and Hispanic women had higher incidences than whites 
    and African Americans (20).  
 Figure 4.
    Prevalence of type 2 diabetes among Pima Indian adults, Arizona, aged 20 to 24, by 
    diabetes status of the mother during pregnancy. A prediabetic mother is one who develops diabetes after 
    delivery. Data from Pettitt et al, 1988 (16).
    (A text description of this graph is also 
    available.) 
 Figure 5. Exposure to gestational diabetes (GD) and 
    fraction of diabetes attributed to GD among cohorts of Pima 
    Indian adults, Arizona, aged 10 to 19 years (n = 6902). Data from Dabelea et al, 
    1998 (17).
    (A text description of this graph is also 
    available.) Gestational diabetes is adding fuel to an already raging epidemic of 
    diabetes. The intergenerational component operates through women and begins 
    with the interaction of genetic susceptibility and unhealthy lifestyle 
    practices that precipitate obesity in girls and women of reproductive age, 
    which in turn increases the risk of diabetes prior to or during pregnancy. 
    The percentage of women exposed to diabetes in their intrauterine life then 
    increases in each subsequent generation, driving rates of diabetes in the 
    general population higher and higher with each generation. This scenario is already 
    unfolding in the Mexican populations of North America and deserves serious 
    study. Back to top Where Do We Go From Here?The costs of diabetes in the United States were estimated at $132 billion 
    for 2002 (21). Meeting the demand for public health care services caused by 
    diabetes will alone cost Mexico $318 million in 2005, 26% more than in 2003 
    (22). While the monetary costs are staggering, the suffering and disability 
    among those afflicted with diabetes and their families are incalculable.  We need to confront the diabetes pandemic with urgency. 
    Efficacy studies show that lifestyle changes can effectively reduce the 
    incidence of diabetes in persons at high risk (23). We need effective 
    programs that promote healthy lifestyles and make screening and sound case 
    management widely available. We also need to devote significant resources to 
    developing new drugs and therapies. Combating obesity and inactivity must 
    become a national priority. Preventive actions must be undertaken along a 
    broad front, impacting behavior as well as the physical environment — from how we design our cities to promote physical activity to what 
    agriculture and food policies we support to foster a healthier food basket. 
    We need to promote aggressively a love of physical activity and healthy 
    diets, particularly among our children. We need flexible programs that can 
    fit local settings and our diversity of cultures, including the mosaic of 
    Hispanic groups in the United States. Mexico, with far fewer resources, must do all of 
    the above while combating yesterday’s unresolved problems of undernutrition. 
    The future will be grim only if we let it become so. Back to top Author InformationCorresponding author: Reynaldo Martorell,  PhD, Department of 
    Global Health, The Rollins School of Public Health of Emory 
    University, 1518 Clifton Rd, Room 754, Atlanta, GA 30322. Telephone: 
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