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Evaluating Fiscal Policy
Economics Textbooks Boundless Economics Fiscal Policy Evaluating Fiscal Policy
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Concept Version 5
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Difficulty in Getting the Timing Right

Discretionary fiscal policy relies on getting the timing right, but this can be difficult to determine at the time decisions must be made.

Learning Objective

  • Explain the effect of timing on the use of fiscal policy tools


Key Points

    • Automatic stabilizers are designed to respond to evolving economic conditions without anyone taking action; timing is not an issue.
    • Good economic data are a precondition to effective macroeconomic management. The problem with this is that it could be weeks, or even months, before the necessary data is collected and organized in a way that would reveal there is a problem.
    • Once a discretionary program is in place, the next step is to measure its effectiveness. Again, measurement becomes a problem. Because it takes so long to measure fluctuations in the economy, it may be months before the program's effect on the economy can be seen.

Term

  • discretionary fiscal policy

    A fiscal policy achieved through government intervention, as opposed to automatic stabilizers.


Full Text

A nation can respond to economic fluctuations through automatic stabilizers or through discretionary policy. With regards to automatic stabilizers, timing is not an issue. Automatic stabilizers are designed to respond to evolving economic conditions without anyone taking action.

With discretionary fiscal policy, timing plays a very significant role. Discretionary policy often requires that a set of laws must be passed through a legislature. This means that the problem has to be identified first, which means collecting macroeconomic data.

Good economic data are a precondition to effective macroeconomic management. With the complexity of modern economies and the lags inherent in macroeconomic policy instruments, a country must have the capacity to promptly identify any adverse trends in its economy and to apply the appropriate corrective measure. This cannot be done without economic data that is complete, accurate and timely. The problem with this is that it could be weeks, or even months, before the necessary data is collected and organized in a way that would reveal there is a problem.

Once the problem has been established, Congress must then arrive at a plan and hold debates. Any legislation must pass through committees in both chambers, and both chambers must approve. Then, it must be presented to the President for his signature. This entire process would take weeks at least, but would more likely take months .

President Coolidge Signing a Bill into Law

It can take many months before Congress can pass a bill that would address current economic fluctuations.

Once the discretionary program is in place, the next step is to measure its effectiveness. Again, measurement becomes a problem. Because it takes so long to measure fluctuations in the economy, it may be months before the program's effect on the economy can be seen.

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